15 February 2010

Top 20 again

Last rankings

1) Kansas
2) Duke
3) Syracuse (that loss at home dropped them back behind Duke again. For reasons I still cannot quite figure out)

4) West Virginia
4) Wisconsin
6) Texas
7) Kansas St
8) Purdue
9) BYU
10) Kentucky
11) Villanova
12) Ohio State

13) Georgetown
14) Maryland
15) Missouri
16) Baylor
17) California

18) Marquette
19) Michigan State
20) Xavier

Clemson and Vanderbilt are right outside that list

Current list of teams in my top at-larges not in the Bracketology field
Minnesota (41)
Mississippi (40)
Mississippi St (42)
Arizona State (36)
Washington (35)
None of those has a convincing case for inclusion yet, Miss. St looks like the best case (despite being the lowest ranked on my list) because they have a better record against quality teams. Unfortunately for them, they also haven't played many because the SEC sucks this year. Lunardi presently has both Charlotte and Rhode Island in, for reasons I'm not sure make any sense. Supposedly the A10 is great so winning it would be also great, I say it's good but it's still behind the Pac-10 as a whole, and the Pac-10 is really down this year.

Most dangerous non-BCS conference teams:
Obviously BYU and New Mexico. Xavier is highly ranked by my system, but hasn't played much or won much. They're commonly many at-large teams "best win". After that there's Old Dominion, Butler, and Utah State (which Lunardi has as a 13th seed..and I have as a 7, by far the most underrated team by my count). Northern Iowa, Temple, and Gonzaga look to be overrated to varying degrees. All have some bad losses, though at least Temple and Gonzaga have some good wins. Cornell is also pretty badly overrated (in the tournament sure, top 25...no..this is crazy talk). Richmond is getting a little too much pub also. I don't see them as a 7 seed.

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