27 February 2012

NCAA week 5

1) Kentucky 12-1
Small Gap has shown up here finally.

2) Ohio State 9-6
3) Michigan State 12-5

4) Kansas 12-5

5) Syracuse 16-1
6) North Carolina 12-4

7) Wichita State 9-3-1
8) Wisconsin 8-6-2
9) Missouri 11-3-1

10) Duke 14-4
11) Indiana 9-5-2

12) Georgetown 7-6
13) Florida 6-5-2 (this is not a good sign that someone with a losing record shows up in the top 15. I suspect it means Florida won't be in the top 15 by the end of the SEC tournament)
14) Marquette 9-5
15) Memphis 8-7-1
16) St Louis 6-4-2
17) Baylor 11-5
18) New Mexico 7-3-3

19) Belmont 4-4-3
20) Vanderbilt 10-7-2
21) Alabama 6-8-1
22) California 10-6-1
23) Kansas St 7-7-2
24) Louisville 9-6-1
25) UNLV 6-5-1
25) Virginia 9-6-1

Texas is looking a lot like Georgetown a few years ago, finished 16-14 with the 3rd toughest schedule in the nation, rated like a 7 seed, and then missed the tournament. The difference being that Texas is at least 18-11 instead of 16-14, and the field is a lot weaker this year. Teams like Butler, Dayton, Maryland, and Boston College were on the bubble that year (2009) and had quality records against good to solid teams (all of them had better records than say, Georgetown this year). The bubble this year has lots of teams with losing and terrible records against better competition. Indeed, there are teams that are likely in with room to spare with such records. Iowa State for example is in the mid 30s with a 5-6-2 record and appears with universal acceptance in mock brackets. It's hard to say who should be in or out of this sort of pool.
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